Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.028372 0.030447 0.032611 0.035040 0.037692 0.040504 0.043716
2025-06-22 0.024851 0.027788 0.031008 0.034812 0.039199 0.044119 0.050081
2025-06-29 0.022222 0.025611 0.029466 0.034201 0.039896 0.046567 0.055038
2025-07-06 0.020765 0.024535 0.028957 0.034569 0.041563 0.050070 0.061325
2025-07-13 0.019433 0.023442 0.028266 0.034561 0.042647 0.052810 0.066747
2025-07-20 0.018510 0.022746 0.027962 0.034940 0.044157 0.056096 0.073030
2025-07-27 0.017476 0.021819 0.027276 0.034736 0.044835 0.058270 0.077912
2025-08-03 0.016564 0.020980 0.026628 0.034506 0.045412 0.060286 0.082655
2025-08-10 0.015767 0.020235 0.026045 0.034301 0.045971 0.062263 0.087433
2025-08-17 0.015080 0.019591 0.025550 0.034165 0.046588 0.064319 0.092433
2025-08-24 0.014335 0.018828 0.024845 0.033680 0.046650 0.065542 0.096216
2025-08-31 0.013625 0.018075 0.024111 0.033102 0.046522 0.066443 0.099522
2025-09-07 0.013048 0.017487 0.023584 0.032801 0.046797 0.067983 0.103994
2025-09-14 0.012522 0.016945 0.023096 0.032527 0.047086 0.069550 0.108617
2025-09-21 0.011945 0.016303 0.022433 0.031950 0.046864 0.070275 0.111854
2025-09-28 0.011674 0.016090 0.022379 0.032285 0.048077 0.073366 0.119389
2025-10-05 0.011325 0.015747 0.022114 0.032277 0.048731 0.075566 0.125512
2025-10-12 0.011095 0.015568 0.022083 0.032625 0.049974 0.078815 0.133793
2025-10-19 0.010740 0.015186 0.021729 0.032438 0.050312 0.080529 0.139342
2025-10-26 0.010400 0.014814 0.021371 0.032226 0.050590 0.082141 0.144815
2025-11-02 0.010085 0.014468 0.021040 0.032037 0.050890 0.083799 0.150503
2025-11-09 0.009803 0.014161 0.020757 0.031912 0.051289 0.085649 0.156714
2025-11-16 0.009461 0.013751 0.020294 0.031466 0.051094 0.086390 0.160710